This paper studies the effects of discretionary fiscal policy on output volatility and economic growth. Using data for 91 countries, we isolate three empirical regularities: (1) governments that use fiscal policy aggressively induce significant macroeconomic instability; (2) the…
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Discretion · Center (category theory) · Political science · Fiscal policy · Public administration · Economics · Law · Macroeconomics
# The Case for Restricting Fiscal Policy Discretion
> OpenAlex Metadata Hub · https://openalex.org/W2123016516
## Bibliographic
- **DOI:** 10.1162/003355303322552838
- **Year:** 2003
- **Citations:** 752
- **Open Access:** No (closed)
- **License:** —
- **Source:** https://doi.org/10.1162/003355303322552838
## Authors
- Antonio Fatás
- Ilian Mihov
## Abstract
This paper studies the effects of discretionary fiscal policy on output volatility and economic growth. Using data for 91 countries, we isolate three empirical regularities: (1) governments that use fiscal policy aggressively induce significant macroeconomic instability; (2) the volatility of output caused by discretionary fiscal policy lowers economic growth by more than 0.8 percentage points for every percentage point increase in volatility; (3) prudent use of fiscal policy is explained to a large extent by the presence of political constraints and other political and institutional variables. The evidence in the paper supports arguments for constraining discretion by imposing institutional restrictions on governments as a way to reduce output volatility and increase the rate of economic growth.
## Keywords
Discretion, Center (category theory), Political science, Fiscal policy, Public administration, Economics, Law, Macroeconomics
## Concepts
- Discretion
- Center (category theory)
- Political science
- Fiscal policy
- Public administration
- Economics
- Law
- Macroeconomics
- Crystallography
- Chemistry
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*Metadata only — full text not imported unless Open Access license permits.*
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Tóm lược học thuật (đã diễn giải): This paper studies the effects of discretionary fiscal policy on output volatility and economic growth. Using data for 91 countries, we isolate three empirical regularities: (1) governments that use fiscal policy aggressively induce significant macroeconomic instability; (2) the volatility of output caused by discretionary fiscal policy lowers economic growth by more than 0.8 percentage points for every percentage point increase in volatility; (3) prudent use of fiscal policy is explained to a large extent by the presence of political constraints and other political and institutional variables. The evidence in the paper supports arguments for constraining discretion by imposing institutional restrictions on governments as a way to reduce output volatility and increase the rate of economic growth.
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1. This paper studies the effects of discretionary fiscal policy on output volatility and economic growth.
2. Using data for 91 countries, we isolate three empirical regularities: (1) governments that use fiscal policy aggressively induce significant macroeconomic instability; (2) the volatility of output caused by discretionary fiscal policy lowers economic growth by more than 0.8 percentage points for every percentage point increase in volatility; (3) prudent use of fiscal policy is explained to a large extent by the presence of political constraints and other political and institutional variables.
3. The evidence in the paper supports arguments for constraining discretion by imposing institutional restrictions on governments as a way to reduce output volatility and increase the rate of economic growth.
Trader nên nối luận điểm policy/lãi suất trong tài liệu với bias trung hạn của USD và các cặp major — đặc biệt quanh FOMC / dữ liệu CPI.
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