Hazardous Times for Monetary Policy: What Do Twenty-Three Million Bank Loans Say About the Effects of Monetary Policy on Credit Risk-Taking?
We identify the effects of monetary policy on credit risk-taking with an exhaustive credit register of loan applications and contracts. We separate the changes in the composition of the supply of credit from the concurrent changes in the volume of supply and quality, and the…
# Hazardous Times for Monetary Policy: What Do Twenty-Three Million Bank Loans Say About the Effects of Monetary Policy on Credit Risk-Taking?
> OpenAlex Metadata Hub · https://openalex.org/W3049243281
## Bibliographic
- **DOI:** 10.3982/ecta10104
- **Year:** 2014
- **Citations:** 1325
- **Open Access:** Yes (bronze)
- **License:** —
- **Source:** https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.3982/ECTA10104
## Authors
- Gabriel Jiménez
- Steven Ongena
- José-Luis Peydró
- Jesús Saurina
## Abstract
We identify the effects of monetary policy on credit risk-taking with an exhaustive credit register of loan applications and contracts. We separate the changes in the composition of the supply of credit from the concurrent changes in the volume of supply and quality, and the volume of demand. We employ a two-stage model that analyzes the granting of loan applications in the first stage and loan outcomes for the applications granted in the second stage, and that controls for both observed and unobserved, time-varying, firm and bank heterogeneity through time*firm and time*bank fixed effects. We find that a lower overnight interest rate induces lowly capitalized banks to grant more loan applications to ex ante risky firms and to commit larger loan volumes with fewer collateral requirements to these firms, yet with a higher ex post likelihood of default. A lower long-term interest rate and other relevant macroeconomic variables have no such effects.
## Keywords
Collateral, Loan, Monetary economics, Monetary policy, Interest rate, Commit, Economics, Ex-ante, Fixed interest rate loan, Business, Credit risk, Financial system, Actuarial science, Finance, Macroeconomics
## Concepts
- Collateral
- Loan
- Monetary economics
- Monetary policy
- Interest rate
- Commit
- Economics
- Ex-ante
- Fixed interest rate loan
- Business
- Credit risk
- Financial system
- Actuarial science
- Finance
- Macroeconomics
- Database
- Computer science
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*Metadata only — full text not imported unless Open Access license permits.*
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Tóm lược học thuật (đã diễn giải): We identify the effects of monetary policy on credit risk-taking with an exhaustive credit register of loan applications and contracts. We separate the changes in the composition of the supply of credit from the concurrent changes in the volume of supply and quality, and the volume of demand. We employ a two-stage model that analyzes the granting of loan applications in the first stage and loan outcomes for the applications granted in the second stage, and that controls for both observed and unobserved, time-varying, firm and bank heterogeneity through time*firm and time*bank fixed effects. We find that a lower overnight interest rate induces lowly capitalized banks to grant more loan applications to ex ante risky firms and to commit larger loan volumes with fewer collateral requirements to these firms, yet with a higher ex post likelihood of default. A lower long-term interest rate and …
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1. We identify the effects of monetary policy on credit risk-taking with an exhaustive credit register of loan applications and contracts.
2. We separate the changes in the composition of the supply of credit from the concurrent changes in the volume of supply and quality, and the volume of demand.
3. We employ a two-stage model that analyzes the granting of loan applications in the first stage and loan outcomes for the applications granted in the second stage, and that controls for both observed and unobserved, time-varying, firm and bank heterogeneity through time*firm and time*bank fixed effects.
4. We find that a lower overnight interest rate induces lowly capitalized banks to grant more loan applications to ex ante risky firms and to commit larger loan volumes with fewer collateral requirements to these firms, yet with a higher ex post likelihood of default.
5. A lower long-term interest rate and other relevant macroeconomic variables have no such effects.
Trader nên nối luận điểm policy/lãi suất trong tài liệu với bias trung hạn của USD và các cặp major — đặc biệt quanh FOMC / dữ liệu CPI.
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