18 ngày 5,640 XP · Lv 7PremiumTB
Library

Intra-Day and Inter-Market Volatility in Foreign Exchange Rates

Four foreign exchange spot rate series, recorded on an hourly basis for a six-month period in 1986 are examined. A seasonal GARCH model is developed to describe the time-dependent volatility apparent in the percentage nominal return of each currency. Hourly patterns in…

Knowledge Hub · Research → Trading Insight

Economics · Volatility (finance) · Foreign exchange · Foreign exchange market · Monetary economics · Econometrics · Financial economics

# Intra-Day and Inter-Market Volatility in Foreign Exchange Rates > OpenAlex Metadata Hub · https://openalex.org/W1989824032 ## Bibliographic - **DOI:** 10.2307/2298012 - **Year:** 1991 - **Citations:** 504 - **Open Access:** No (closed) - **License:** — - **Source:** https://doi.org/10.2307/2298012 ## Authors - Richard T. Baillie - Tim Bollerslev ## Abstract Four foreign exchange spot rate series, recorded on an hourly basis for a six-month period in 1986 are examined. A seasonal GARCH model is developed to describe the time-dependent volatility apparent in the percentage nominal return of each currency. Hourly patterns in volatility are found to be remarkably similar across currencies and appear to be related to the opening and closing of the worlds major markets. Robust LM tests designed to deal with the extreme leptokurtosis in the data fails to uncover any evidence of misspecification or the presence of volatility spillover effects between the currencies or across markets. ## Keywords Economics, Volatility (finance), Foreign exchange, Foreign exchange market, Monetary economics, Econometrics, Financial economics ## Concepts - Economics - Volatility (finance) - Foreign exchange - Foreign exchange market - Monetary economics - Econometrics - Financial economics --- *Metadata only — full text not imported unless Open Access license permits.*
Bài “Intra-Day and Inter-Market Volatility in Foreign Exchange Rates” được TradingBase chuyển thành Knowledge Product cho trader — không phải trang đọc abstract OpenAlex. Tóm lược học thuật (đã diễn giải): Four foreign exchange spot rate series, recorded on an hourly basis for a six-month period in 1986 are examined. A seasonal GARCH model is developed to describe the time-dependent volatility apparent in the percentage nominal return of each currency. Hourly patterns in volatility are found to be remarkably similar across currencies and appear to be related to the opening and closing of the worlds major markets. Robust LM tests designed to deal with the extreme leptokurtosis in the data fails to uncover any evidence of misspecification or the presence of volatility spillover effects between the currencies or across markets. Phần Trading Insights bên dưới nối nghiên cứu với Forex, vàng, USD, lãi suất và risk regime — để bạn đưa vào journal và playbook. Metadata DOI/OA chỉ là rail tham chiếu; nội dung chính là summary, takeaways và ứng dụng thị trường do Content Factory sinh.

1. Four foreign exchange spot rate series, recorded on an hourly basis for a six-month period in 1986 are examined.

2. A seasonal GARCH model is developed to describe the time-dependent volatility apparent in the percentage nominal return of each currency.

3. Hourly patterns in volatility are found to be remarkably similar across currencies and appear to be related to the opening and closing of the worlds major markets.

4. Robust LM tests designed to deal with the extreme leptokurtosis in the data fails to uncover any evidence of misspecification or the presence of volatility spillover effects between the currencies or across markets.

Trader nên nối luận điểm policy/lãi suất trong tài liệu với bias trung hạn của USD và các cặp major — đặc biệt quanh FOMC / dữ liệu CPI.

Với XAUUSD: kỳ vọng cắt lãi / USD yếu thường hỗ trợ vàng; hawkish surprise thường gây áp lực giảm — dùng khung này để đọc reaction sau tin, không đoán trước.

Áp dụng vào FX: theo dõi transmission từ theory (pricing, carry, balance-sheet) sang hành vi giá trên M15–H4 sau các event thanh khoản cao.

Góc Forex: đối chiếu kết luận bài với hành giá gần nhất và lịch tin impact cao trước khi vào lệnh.

Góc Gold (XAUUSD): đối chiếu kết luận bài với hành giá gần nhất và lịch tin impact cao trước khi vào lệnh.

  • Trading: rút 1 bias hoặc 1 setup hypothesis từ Key Takeaways, test trên demo/journal trước khi live.
  • Risk: chuyển insight thành rule (max risk/trade, pause quanh tin, correlation USD–vàng) và gắn vào playbook.
  • Journal: mỗi tuần ghi 1 đoạn “theory → market observation → outcome” dựa trên bài này.
  • Portfolio: nếu bài nói macro/liquidity, đánh dấu exposure risk-on/off và hedge (ví dụ XAU) tương ứng.
  • Prop Firm: ưu tiên trade có thesis macro rõ + news filter; tránh scalp trong cửa sổ tin nếu chưa có edge.
AI Search