
Economics
Key Economic Events for Today
Today's economic agenda features final manufacturing PMIs for major Eurozone economies and the UK, alongside Switzerland's CPI report. Market reactions are expected to be muted, with broader attention on geopolitical developments and upcoming US economic data.
Focus on Manufacturing PMIs and Inflation Reports
Entities & knowledge links
Executive summary
Today's economic agenda features final manufacturing PMIs for major Eurozone economies and the UK, alongside Switzerland's CPI report. Market reactions are expected to be muted, with broader attention on geopolitical developments and upcoming US economic data.
European Session
In the European session, final manufacturing PMIs for major Eurozone economies and the UK will be released. However, these figures are not anticipated to influence central bank policies significantly, leading to a likely muted market reaction. Additionally, the Swiss CPI report is expected to indicate a yearly inflation rate easing to 0.4%. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is projected to maintain its current stance until the end of 2027 unless there are significant changes in the inflation outlook. Consequently, today's data is unlikely to be market-moving, with the primary focus remaining on developments related to the US-Iran situation and the upcoming US CPI report due on August 14.
American Session
In the American session, the highlight will be the US ISM Manufacturing PMI, with expectations set at 53.9 compared to the previous 53.3. Recent S&P Global US PMIs indicated a slight weakening in manufacturing growth, attributed to diminishing stock building from prior months. July's data revealed a concerning rise in supply chain delays and a renewed increase in price pressures, which are expected to constrain growth and dampen demand. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East is likely to exacerbate these supply chain issues and heighten downside risks to the near-term economic outlook.
Market impact
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NIC · Impact scores
Global: 97 · Market: 100 · Urgency: 60 · Confidence: 90 · Bullish
Themes: inflation, rates, geopolitics
Asset impact
- EUR — Bullish (67) · EUR leans bullish based on headline/body drivers.
- AUD — Bullish (67) · AUD leans bullish based on headline/body drivers.
- US Stocks — Bullish (67) · US Stocks leans bullish based on headline/body drivers.
- Forex — Bullish (67) · Forex leans bullish based on headline/body drivers.
- Indices — Bullish (67) · Indices leans bullish based on headline/body drivers.
Market reaction
- EURUSD: 1.1538499999999998 → 1.1538499999999998 (0%) · T-15m / T0 / T+15m / T+60m
- AUDUSD: Price snapshot pending · T-15m / T0 / T+15m / T+60m
- SPX: Price snapshot pending · T-15m / T0 / T+15m / T+60m
- FX: Price snapshot pending · T-15m / T0 / T+15m / T+60m
- US30: Price snapshot pending · T-15m / T0 / T+15m / T+60m
Trading insight
Analysis only. Not a trade signal. Not investment advice. No Entry/TP/SL is generated by NIC.
Scenarios
- Continuation if confirmation holds after the news window.
- Whipsaw risk is elevated inside the first 15–60 minutes after release.
- Watch correlated assets for confirmation rather than reacting to the headline alone.
Watch factors
- Actual vs forecast surprise (priced-in risk)
- USD / yields impulse if macro-sensitive
- Liquidity and spread during the news window
- Follow-through after T+15m / T+60m
- Relative reaction in eur
- Relative reaction in aud
- Relative reaction in us_stocks
- Relative reaction in forex
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