Economics
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Model Projects Q3 Growth at 5.0%
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model has released its initial estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2026, projecting a rate of 5.0%. This estimate follows a final reading of 1.5% for Q2, aligning with previous expectations.
Initial estimate reflects limited data and is subject to revision.
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Executive summary
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model has released its initial estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2026, projecting a rate of 5.0%. This estimate follows a final reading of 1.5% for Q2, aligning with previous expectations.
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model has provided its initial estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2026, projecting a growth rate of 5.0%. This comes after the final estimate for the second quarter was confirmed at 1.5%, matching earlier projections from economists.
It is important to note that initial estimates are based on limited data and can experience significant fluctuations as more information becomes available over the coming months. The final estimate for Q3 will be refined as additional data is released.
The first estimate for second-quarter real GDP growth was also reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis at 1.5%, consistent with the final GDPNow nowcast after rounding.
The next update from the GDPNow model is scheduled for August 3, which will provide further insights into the evolving economic landscape.
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